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PRT ポルトガル プリメイラリーガ · Round 1 ·

サンタクララ vs ナシオナル

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利38%
引き分け33%
アウェイ勝利29%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–1サンタクララナシオナル
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー70% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
38% / 33% / 29%試合結果ホーム勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ナシオナル win (29.3%)ダブルチャンス1X70.7%1.41
オーバー 30% · アンダー 70%Goals 2.5アンダー70%1.43
はい 38% · いいえ 62%両チーム得点いいえ62%1.61
1.92 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
サンタクララ win38%2.63
引き分け33%3.03
ナシオナル win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

サンタクララ1.08

ホーム share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 30% · アンダー 70%

ナシオナル0.84

アウェイ share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 38% · いいえ 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

サンタクララ

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ナシオナル

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
勝ち probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.08
Expected goals
0.84
サンタクララナシオナル
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01サンタクララ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ナシオナル signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

サンタクララ vs ナシオナル FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

サンタクララ 勝ち 38%,引き分け 33%,ナシオナル 勝ち 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · オーバー 2.5 30% · Current selection アンダー