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PRT Portugalsko - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Santa Clara vs Nacional

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích50%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostů21%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích50% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santa ClaraNacional
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně70% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
50% / 29% / 21%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nacional win (21.3%)Dvojitá šance1X78.7%1.27
Více 30% · Méně 70%Goals 2.5Méně70%1.43
Ano 38% · Ne 62%Oba týmy skórujíNe62%1.61
1.92 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.9 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapSanta Clara winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santa Clara win50%2.001.8351%-1.0 pp
Remíza29%3.453.3028.3%+0.7 pp
Nacional win21%4.764.5020.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santa Clara1.08

Domácí share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 30% · Méně 70%

Nacional0.84

Hosté share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 38% · Ne 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Santa Clara

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Nacional

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Výhra probability excluding draw
21%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.08
Expected goals
0.84
Santa ClaraNacional
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santa Clara signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nacional signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Santa Clara vs Nacional FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santa Clara výhra 50%,Remíza 29%,Nacional výhra 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · Více 2.5 30% · Current selection Méně