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PRT Португалия - Лига Примейра · Round 1 ·

Санта-Клара vs Насьональ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев38%
Ничья33%
Победа гостей29%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Санта-КлараНасьональ
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше70% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
38% / 33% / 29%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Насьональ win (29.3%)Двойной шанс1X70.7%1.41
Больше 30% · Меньше 70%Goals 2.5Меньше70%1.43
Да 38% · Нет 62%Обе забьютНет62%1.61
1.92 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Санта-Клара win38%2.63
Ничья33%3.03
Насьональ win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Санта-Клара1.08

Хозяева share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 30% · Меньше 70%

Насьональ0.84

Гости share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 38% · Нет 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Санта-Клара

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Насьональ

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.08
Expected goals
0.84
Санта-КлараНасьональ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Санта-Клара signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Насьональ signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Санта-Клара vs Насьональ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Санта-Клара выигрыш 38%,Ничья 33%,Насьональ выигрыш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · ТБ 2.5 30% · Current selection Меньше