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PRT 葡萄牙超級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

聖達卡拉 vs 國民

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝38%
33%
客勝29%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝38% selection probability
Projected score1–1聖達卡拉國民
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.570% for the selected side
雙方進球62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
38% / 33% / 29%比賽結果主勝38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 國民 win (29.3%)雙重機會1X70.7%1.41
大 30% · 小 70%Goals 2.570%1.43
是 38% · 否 62%雙方進球62%1.61
1.92 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.9 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
聖達卡拉 win38%2.63
33%3.03
國民 win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

聖達卡拉1.08

主隊 share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 30% · 70%

國民0.84

客隊 share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 38% · 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

聖達卡拉

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

國民

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
贏 probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.08
Expected goals
0.84
聖達卡拉國民
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01聖達卡拉 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02國民 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

聖達卡拉 vs 國民 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

聖達卡拉 38%, 33%,國民 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · 大2.5 30% · Current selection