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PRT Πορτογαλία - Πριμέιρα Λίγκα · Round 1 ·

Σάντα Κλάρα vs Νασιονάλ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου38%
Ισοπαλία33%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου29%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Σάντα ΚλάραΝασιονάλ
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω70% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
38% / 33% / 29%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Νασιονάλ win (29.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X70.7%1.41
Άνω 30% · Κάτω 70%Goals 2.5Κάτω70%1.43
Ναι 38% · Όχι 62%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι62%1.61
1.92 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.9 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Σάντα Κλάρα win38%2.63
Ισοπαλία33%3.03
Νασιονάλ win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σάντα Κλάρα1.08

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 30% · Κάτω 70%

Νασιονάλ0.84

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 38% · Όχι 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σάντα Κλάρα

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Νασιονάλ

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
6
1.08
Expected goals
0.84
Σάντα ΚλάραΝασιονάλ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σάντα Κλάρα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Νασιονάλ signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Σάντα Κλάρα vs Νασιονάλ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σάντα Κλάρα νίκη 38%,Ισοπαλία 33%,Νασιονάλ νίκη 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · Άνω 2.5 30% · Current selection Κάτω