Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
69% / 20% / 12%Match resultHome win69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Plovdiv win (11.5%)Double chance1X88.5%1.13
Over 43% · Under 57%Goals 2.5Under57%1.75
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
2.41 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapLevski Sofia winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Levski Sofia win69%1.451.3868.4%+0.6 pp
Draw20%5.004.7519.9%+0.1 pp
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 78.4%
Total expected goals2.41Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 43% · Under 57%
Away share of expected goals 21.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchLevski Sofia
WWDWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchLokomotiv Plovdiv
LWLWD
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
69%
Win probability excluding draw
12%13
Points from supplied form
71.89
Expected goals
0.52Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Levski Sofia win 69%，Draw 20%，Lokomotiv Plovdiv win 12%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.41 · Over 2.5 43% · Current selection Under。