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BGR Bulgaria First League · Trận đấu ·

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng69%
Hòa20%
Đội khách thắng12%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng69% selection probability
Projected score2–1Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu57% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
69% / 20% / 12%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Plovdiv win (11.5%)Cơ hội kép1X88.5%1.13
Tài 43% · Xỉu 57%Goals 2.5Xỉu57%1.75
Có 35% · Không 65%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông65%1.54
2.41 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
8.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapLevski Sofia winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Levski Sofia win69%1.451.3868.4%+0.6 pp
Hòa20%5.004.7519.9%+0.1 pp
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Levski Sofia1.89

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 43% · Xỉu 57%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.52

Khách share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 35% · Không 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Điểm13

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Thắng probability excluding draw
12%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.52
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Levski Sofia signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv Plovdiv signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Levski Sofia thắng 69%,Hòa 20%,Lokomotiv Plovdiv thắng 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Tài 2.5 43% · Current selection Xỉu