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BGR България - Първа Лига · Мач ·

Левски vs Локомотив Пловдив

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.41 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина69%
Равен20%
Победа за госта12%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина69% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛевскиЛокомотив Пловдив
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
69% / 20% / 12%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Локомотив Пловдив win (11.5%)Двоен шанс1X88.5%1.13
Над 43% · Под 57%Goals 2.5Под57%1.75
Да 35% · Не 65%И двата отбора да отбележатНе65%1.54
2.41 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.9 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapЛевски winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Левски win69%1.451.3868.4%+0.6 pp
Равен20%5.004.7519.9%+0.1 pp
Локомотив Пловдив win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Левски1.89

Домакин share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 43% · Под 57%

Локомотив Пловдив0.52

Гост share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 35% · Не 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Левски

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Локомотив Пловдив

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
12%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.52
ЛевскиЛокомотив Пловдив
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Левски signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Локомотив Пловдив signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Левски vs Локомотив Пловдив FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Левски печеливш 69%,Равен 20%,Локомотив Пловдив печеливш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Над 2.5 43% · Current selection Под