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BGR Bulgaria - Prima Liga · Final ·

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score2–0Predicție 2–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde69%
Egal20%
Victorie oaspeți12%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 69% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde69% selection probability
Projected score2–1Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub57% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
69% / 20% / 12%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lokomotiv Plovdiv win (11.5%)Șansă dublă1X88.5%1.13
Peste 43% · Sub 57%Goals 2.5Sub57%1.75
Da 35% · Nu 65%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu65%1.54
2.41 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.0%Largest probability gapLevski Sofia winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Levski Sofia win69%1.451.3868.4%+0.6 pp
Egal20%5.004.7519.9%+0.1 pp
Lokomotiv Plovdiv win12%8.338.0011.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Levski Sofia1.89

Gazde share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 43% · Sub 57%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.52

Oaspeți share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 35% · Nu 65%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Levski Sofia

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Câștig probability excluding draw
12%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.89
Expected goals
0.52
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Levski Sofia signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lokomotiv Plovdiv signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Levski Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Levski Sofia câștig 69%,Egal 20%,Lokomotiv Plovdiv câștig 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Peste 2.5 43% · Current selection Sub