Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 26% / 22%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Genesis de Comayagua win (22.4%)Double chance1X77.6%1.29
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.90 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Real Espana win51%1.96
Draw26%3.85
Genesis de Comayagua win22%4.55
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 66.9%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%
Away share of expected goals 33.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchReal Espana
WDLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchGenesis de Comayagua
WLDWD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
51%
Win probability excluding draw
22%7
Points from supplied form
81.94
Expected goals
0.96Real EspanaGenesis de Comayagua
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Real Espana vs Genesis de Comayagua FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Real Espana win 51%，Draw 26%，Genesis de Comayagua win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over。