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HND Hondurase Liga Nacional · Round 1 ·

Real España vs Génesis de Comayagua

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit51%
Viik26%
Võõrsilvõit22%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real EspañaGénesis de Comayagua
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle55% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
51% / 26% / 22%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Génesis de Comayagua win (22.4%)Topeltvõimalus1X77.6%1.29
Üle 55% · Alla 45%Goals 2.5Üle55%1.82
Jah 53% · Ei 47%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah53%1.89
2.90 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.3 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Real España win51%1.96
Viik26%3.85
Génesis de Comayagua win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real España1.94

Kodu share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 55% · Alla 45%

Génesis de Comayagua0.96

Võõras share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 53% · Ei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Real España

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Génesis de Comayagua

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalVõõras unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Võit probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.94
Expected goals
0.96
Real EspañaGénesis de Comayagua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real España signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Génesis de Comayagua signalVõõras unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Real España vs Génesis de Comayagua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real España võit 51%,Viik 26%,Génesis de Comayagua võit 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Üle 2.5 55% · Current selection Üle