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HND Хондурас - Лига Насионал · Round 1 ·

Реал Еспаня vs Генесис де Комаягуа

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина51%
Равен26%
Победа за госта22%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Реал ЕспаняГенесис де Комаягуа
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
51% / 26% / 22%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Генесис де Комаягуа win (22.4%)Двоен шанс1X77.6%1.29
Над 55% · Под 45%Goals 2.5Над55%1.82
Да 53% · Не 47%И двата отбора да отбележатДа53%1.89
2.90 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Реал Еспаня win51%1.96
Равен26%3.85
Генесис де Комаягуа win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Реал Еспаня1.94

Домакин share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 55% · Под 45%

Генесис де Комаягуа0.96

Гост share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Не 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Реал Еспаня

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Генесис де Комаягуа

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.94
Expected goals
0.96
Реал ЕспаняГенесис де Комаягуа
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Реал Еспаня signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Генесис де Комаягуа signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Реал Еспаня vs Генесис де Комаягуа FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Реал Еспаня печеливш 51%,Равен 26%,Генесис де Комаягуа печеливш 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Над 2.5 55% · Current selection Над