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HND Honduras Liga Nacional · Round 1 ·

Real Espana vs Genesis de Comayagua

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier51%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier22%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real EspanaGenesis de Comayagua
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
51% / 26% / 22%KampresultatHjemmeseier51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Genesis de Comayagua win (22.4%)Dobbel sjanse1X77.6%1.29
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Ja 53% · Nei 47%Begge lag scorerJa53%1.89
2.90 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Real Espana win51%1.96
Uavgjort26%3.85
Genesis de Comayagua win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Espana1.94

Hjemme share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Genesis de Comayagua0.96

Borte share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Real Espana

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Genesis de Comayagua

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalBorte unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.94
Expected goals
0.96
Real EspanaGenesis de Comayagua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Espana signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Genesis de Comayagua signalBorte unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Real Espana vs Genesis de Comayagua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Espana vunnet 51%,Uavgjort 26%,Genesis de Comayagua vunnet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over