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HND Ονδούρες - Λίγκα Νασιονάλ · Round 1 ·

Ρεάλ Εσπάνια vs Γκένεσις ντε Κομαγιάγκουα

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου51%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου22%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Ρεάλ ΕσπάνιαΓκένεσις ντε Κομαγιάγκουα
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω55% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
51% / 26% / 22%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Γκένεσις ντε Κομαγιάγκουα win (22.4%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X77.6%1.29
Άνω 55% · Κάτω 45%Goals 2.5Άνω55%1.82
Ναι 53% · Όχι 47%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι53%1.89
2.90 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.3 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Ρεάλ Εσπάνια win51%1.96
Ισοπαλία26%3.85
Γκένεσις ντε Κομαγιάγκουα win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ρεάλ Εσπάνια1.94

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 55% · Κάτω 45%

Γκένεσις ντε Κομαγιάγκουα0.96

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 53% · Όχι 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Ρεάλ Εσπάνια

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Γκένεσις ντε Κομαγιάγκουα

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.94
Expected goals
0.96
Ρεάλ ΕσπάνιαΓκένεσις ντε Κομαγιάγκουα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ρεάλ Εσπάνια signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Γκένεσις ντε Κομαγιάγκουα signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Ρεάλ Εσπάνια vs Γκένεσις ντε Κομαγιάγκουα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ρεάλ Εσπάνια νίκη 51%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Γκένεσις ντε Κομαγιάγκουα νίκη 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Άνω 2.5 55% · Current selection Άνω