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HND 洪都拉斯甲級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

皇家西班牙人 vs 科馬亞瓜起源

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝51%
26%
客勝22%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝51% selection probability
Projected score2–1皇家西班牙人科馬亞瓜起源
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.555% for the selected side
雙方進球53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
51% / 26% / 22%比賽結果主勝51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 科馬亞瓜起源 win (22.4%)雙重機會1X77.6%1.29
大 55% · 小 45%Goals 2.555%1.82
是 53% · 否 47%雙方進球53%1.89
2.90 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
皇家西班牙人 win51%1.96
26%3.85
科馬亞瓜起源 win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

皇家西班牙人1.94

主隊 share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 55% · 45%

科馬亞瓜起源0.96

客隊 share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 53% · 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

皇家西班牙人

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

科馬亞瓜起源

1.60pts / match
5Wins2Drawn2Losses1積分8

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
贏 probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.94
Expected goals
0.96
皇家西班牙人科馬亞瓜起源
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01皇家西班牙人 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02科馬亞瓜起源 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

皇家西班牙人 vs 科馬亞瓜起源 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

皇家西班牙人 51%, 26%,科馬亞瓜起源 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · 大2.5 55% · Current selection