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HND 洪都拉斯甲級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

摩塔瓜 vs Estrella Roja

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.73 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝43%
25%
客勝32%
Baseline forecast主勝Tier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝43% selection probability
Projected score1–1摩塔瓜Estrella Roja
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.551% for the selected side
雙方進球55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
43% / 25% / 32%比賽結果主勝43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)雙重機會1274.6%1.34
大 51% · 小 49%Goals 2.551%1.96
是 55% · 否 45%雙方進球55%1.82
2.73 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.9 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
摩塔瓜 win43%2.33
25%4.00
Estrella Roja win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

摩塔瓜1.48

主隊 share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 51% · 49%

Estrella Roja1.25

客隊 share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 55% · 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

摩塔瓜

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

Estrella Roja

0.00pts / match
1Wins0Drawn0Losses1積分0

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
贏 probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
0
1.48
Expected goals
1.25
摩塔瓜Estrella Roja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01摩塔瓜 signal主隊 unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estrella Roja signal主隊 clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

摩塔瓜 vs Estrella Roja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

摩塔瓜 43%, 25%,Estrella Roja 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · 大2.5 51% · Current selection