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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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HND Hondurasi Liga Nacional · Round 1 ·

Motagua vs Estrella Roja

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.73 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem43%
Döntetlen25%
Vendég győzelem32%
Baseline forecastHazai győzelemTier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem43% selection probability
Projected score1–1MotaguaEstrella Roja
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett51% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
43% / 25% / 32%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)Dupla esély1274.6%1.34
Felett 51% · Alatt 49%Goals 2.5Felett51%1.96
Igen 55% · Nem 45%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen55%1.82
2.73 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.9 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Motagua win43%2.33
Döntetlen25%4.00
Estrella Roja win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Motagua1.48

Hazai share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 51% · Alatt 49%

Estrella Roja1.25

Vendég share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 55% · Nem 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Motagua

2.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontok11

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Estrella Roja

0.00pts / match
Lejátszott1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Pontok0

SignalHazai clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Nyert probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
0
1.48
Expected goals
1.25
MotaguaEstrella Roja
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Motagua signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estrella Roja signalHazai clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Motagua vs Estrella Roja FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Motagua nyer 43%,Döntetlen 25%,Estrella Roja nyer 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · 2.5 felett 51% · Current selection Felett