MatchFormula 試合を検索
Menu
UTC+8
タイムゾーンAsia/Shanghai
日本語
HND ホンジュラス ナショナルリーグ · Round 1 ·

モタグア vs エストレラロジャ

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.73 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利43%
引き分け25%
アウェイ勝利32%
Baseline forecastホーム勝利Tier C · 43% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利43% selection probability
Projected score1–1モタグアエストレラロジャ
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
43% / 25% / 32%試合結果ホーム勝利43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.4%)ダブルチャンス1274.6%1.34
オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%Goals 2.5オーバー51%1.96
はい 55% · いいえ 45%両チーム得点はい55%1.82
2.73 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
モタグア win43%2.33
引き分け25%4.00
エストレラロジャ win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

モタグア1.48

ホーム share of expected goals 54.2%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%

エストレラロジャ1.25

アウェイ share of expected goals 45.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 55% · いいえ 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

モタグア

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

エストレラロジャ

0.00pts / match
試合数1Wins0Drawn0Losses1ポイント0

Signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
勝ち probability excluding draw
32%
11
Points from supplied form
0
1.48
Expected goals
1.25
モタグアエストレラロジャ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01モタグア signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02エストレラロジャ signalホーム clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

モタグア vs エストレラロジャ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

モタグア 勝ち 43%,引き分け 25%,エストレラロジャ 勝ち 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · オーバー 2.5 51% · Current selection オーバー