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HND ホンジュラス ナショナルリーグ · Round 1 ·

レアルエスパーニャ vs ヘネシス・デ・コマヤグア

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利51%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利22%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利51% selection probability
Projected score2–1レアルエスパーニャヘネシス・デ・コマヤグア
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー55% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
51% / 26% / 22%試合結果ホーム勝利51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ヘネシス・デ・コマヤグア win (22.4%)ダブルチャンス1X77.6%1.29
オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%Goals 2.5オーバー55%1.82
はい 53% · いいえ 47%両チーム得点はい53%1.89
2.90 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
レアルエスパーニャ win51%1.96
引き分け26%3.85
ヘネシス・デ・コマヤグア win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

レアルエスパーニャ1.94

ホーム share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 55% · アンダー 45%

ヘネシス・デ・コマヤグア0.96

アウェイ share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 53% · いいえ 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

レアルエスパーニャ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ヘネシス・デ・コマヤグア

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
勝ち probability excluding draw
22%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.94
Expected goals
0.96
レアルエスパーニャヘネシス・デ・コマヤグア
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01レアルエスパーニャ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ヘネシス・デ・コマヤグア signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

レアルエスパーニャ vs ヘネシス・デ・コマヤグア FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

レアルエスパーニャ 勝ち 51%,引き分け 26%,ヘネシス・デ・コマヤグア 勝ち 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · オーバー 2.5 55% · Current selection オーバー