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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Round 1 ·

Real España vs Genesis de Comayagua

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst62%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst15%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real EspañaGenesis de Comayagua
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
62% / 23% / 15%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Genesis de Comayagua win (15.2%)Dubbele Kans1X84.8%1.18
Boven 55% · Onder 45%Goals 2.5Boven55%1.82
Ja 53% · Nee 47%Beide teams scorenJa53%1.89
2.90 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapReal España winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real España win62%1.611.4462.5%-0.5 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.354.0022.5%+0.5 pp
Genesis de Comayagua win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real España1.94

Thuis share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 55% · Onder 45%

Genesis de Comayagua0.96

Uit share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 53% · Nee 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Real España

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Genesis de Comayagua

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.94
Expected goals
0.96
Real EspañaGenesis de Comayagua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real España signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Genesis de Comayagua signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Real España vs Genesis de Comayagua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real España gewonnen 62%,Gelijkspel 23%,Genesis de Comayagua gewonnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Boven 2.5 55% · Current selection Boven