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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Wedstrijd ·

CD Platense vs CD Marathon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst30%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst41%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
30% / 29% / 41%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Dubbele Kans1270.9%1.41
Boven 38% · Onder 62%Goals 2.5Onder62%1.61
Ja 43% · Nee 57%Beide teams scorenNee57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapCD Marathon winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Platense win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
CD Marathon win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Platense0.89

Thuis share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 38% · Onder 62%

CD Marathon1.30

Uit share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nee 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

CD Platense

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

CD Marathon

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.89
Expected goals
1.30
CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Platense signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Marathon signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

CD Platense vs CD Marathon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Platense gewonnen 30%,Gelijkspel 29%,CD Marathon gewonnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Boven 2.5 38% · Current selection Onder