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HND Гондурас - Национальная лига · Матч ·

КД Платенсе vs ФК Марафон

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев30%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей41%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей41% selection probability
Projected score1–1КД ПлатенсеФК Марафон
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
30% / 29% / 41%Исход матчаПобеда гостей41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Двойной шанс1270.9%1.41
Больше 38% · Меньше 62%Goals 2.5Меньше62%1.61
Да 43% · Нет 57%Обе забьютНет57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapФК Марафон winDifference+0.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
КД Платенсе win30%3.333.0030%0.0 pp
Ничья29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
ФК Марафон win41%2.442.2040.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

КД Платенсе0.89

Хозяева share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 38% · Меньше 62%

ФК Марафон1.30

Гости share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Нет 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

КД Платенсе

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Марафон

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
41%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.89
Expected goals
1.30
КД ПлатенсеФК Марафон
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01КД Платенсе signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Марафон signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

КД Платенсе vs ФК Марафон FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

КД Платенсе выигрыш 30%,Ничья 29%,ФК Марафон выигрыш 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · ТБ 2.5 38% · Current selection Меньше