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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Partido ·

CD Platense vs CD Marathon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local28%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante42%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante42% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de62% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
28% / 31% / 42%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Platense win (27.7%)Doble OportunidadX272.3%1.38
Más de 38% · Menos de 62%Goals 2.5Menos de62%1.61
Sí 43% · No 57%Ambos equipos marcanNo57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
CD Platense win28%3.57
Empate31%3.23
CD Marathon win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Platense0.89

Local share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 38% · Menos de 62%

CD Marathon1.30

Visitante share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CD Platense

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CD Marathon

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Ganado probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.89
Expected goals
1.30
CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Platense signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Marathon signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

CD Platense vs CD Marathon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Platense ganada 28%,Empate 31%,CD Marathon ganada 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Más de 2.5 38% · Current selection Menos de