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HND Honduras Liga Nacional · Maç ·

CD Platense vs CD Marathon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır28%
Beraberlik31%
Deplasman kazanır42%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır42% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt62% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
28% / 31% / 42%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Platense win (27.7%)Çifte ŞansX272.3%1.38
Üst 38% · Alt 62%Goals 2.5Alt62%1.61
Evet 43% · Hayır 57%Karşılıklı gol varHayır57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
10.2 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
CD Platense win28%3.57
Beraberlik31%3.23
CD Marathon win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Platense0.89

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 38% · Alt 62%

CD Marathon1.30

Deplasman share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 43% · Hayır 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

CD Platense

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

CD Marathon

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.89
Expected goals
1.30
CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Platense signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Marathon signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

CD Platense vs CD Marathon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Platense kazanç 28%,Beraberlik 31%,CD Marathon kazanç 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · 2.5 Üst 38% · Current selection Alt