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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Match ·

CD Platense vs CD Marathon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.19 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger28%
Oavgjort31%
Bortaseger42%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Expected goals2.19Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
28% / 31% / 42%MatchresultatBortaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Platense win (27.8%)DubbelchansX272.2%1.39
Över 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Ja 43% · Nej 57%Båda lagen gör målNej57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
CD Platense win28%3.57
Oavgjort31%3.23
CD Marathon win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Platense0.89

Hemma share of expected goals 40.6%

Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 38% · Under 62%

CD Marathon1.30

Borta share of expected goals 59.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nej 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

CD Platense

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

CD Marathon

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
42%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.89
Expected goals
1.30
CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Platense signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Marathon signalHemma failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

CD Platense vs CD Marathon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Platense vunnen 28%,Oavgjort 31%,CD Marathon vunnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.19 · Över 2.5 38% · Current selection Under