Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 31% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CD Platense win (27.7%)Double chanceX272.3%1.38
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
CD Platense win28%3.57
Draw31%3.23
CD Marathon win42%2.38
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 40.6%
Total expected goals2.19Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%
Away share of expected goals 59.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchCD Platense
LLWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchCD Marathon
WDDDW
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalHome failed to score: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
28%
Win probability excluding draw
42%6
Points from supplied form
90.89
Expected goals
1.30CD PlatenseCD Marathon
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.
Match questions
CD Platense vs CD Marathon FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
CD Platense win 28%，Draw 31%，CD Marathon win 42%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.19 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under。