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HND Гондурас - Национальная лига · Round 1 ·

Лобос УПНФМ vs Оланчо

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев29%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей42%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Лобос УПНФМОланчо
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше54% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
29% / 29% / 42%Исход матчаПобеда гостей42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Лобос УПНФМ win (28.9%)Двойной шансX271.1%1.41
Больше 46% · Меньше 54%Goals 2.5Меньше54%1.85
Да 50% · Нет 50%Обе забьютДа50%2.00
2.50 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Лобос УПНФМ win29%3.45
Ничья29%3.45
Оланчо win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лобос УПНФМ1.04

Хозяева share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 46% · Меньше 54%

Оланчо1.46

Гости share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Нет 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Лобос УПНФМ

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Оланчо

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalГости unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
42%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.04
Expected goals
1.46
Лобос УПНФМОланчо
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лобос УПНФМ signalХозяева failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Оланчо signalГости unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Лобос УПНФМ vs Оланчо FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лобос УПНФМ выигрыш 29%,Ничья 29%,Оланчо выигрыш 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · ТБ 2.5 46% · Current selection Меньше