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HND Honduras - Liga Nacional · Round 1 ·

Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy28%
Remis26%
Wygrana gości46%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lobos UPNFMOlancho FC
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
28% / 26% / 46%Wynik meczuWygrana gości46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Podwójna szansa1273.7%1.36
Powyżej 46% · Poniżej 54%Goals 2.5Poniżej54%1.85
Tak 50% · Nie 50%Obie drużyny strzeląTak50%2.00
2.50 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lobos UPNFM win28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
Remis26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Olancho FC win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lobos UPNFM1.04

Gospodarze share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 46% · Poniżej 54%

Olancho FC1.46

Goście share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 50% · Nie 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Lobos UPNFM

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Olancho FC

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGoście unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
46%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.04
Expected goals
1.46
Lobos UPNFMOlancho FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lobos UPNFM signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olancho FC signalGoście unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lobos UPNFM wygrana 28%,Remis 26%,Olancho FC wygrana 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Powyżej 2.5 46% · Current selection Poniżej