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HND Honduras - Lega Nazionale · Round 1 ·

Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.50 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa28%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite46%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lobos UPNFMOlancho FC
Expected goals2.50Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
28% / 26% / 46%Esito partitaVittoria ospite46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.3%)Doppia Chance1273.7%1.36
Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%Goals 2.5Sotto54%1.85
Sì 50% · No 50%Entrambe le squadre segnano50%2.00
2.50 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lobos UPNFM win28%3.573.2027.9%+0.1 pp
Pareggio26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Olancho FC win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lobos UPNFM1.04

Casa share of expected goals 41.6%

Total expected goals2.50Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%

Olancho FC1.46

Trasferta share of expected goals 58.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Lobos UPNFM

0.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punti1

SignalCasa failed to score: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Olancho FC

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vinta probability excluding draw
46%
1
Points from supplied form
7
1.04
Expected goals
1.46
Lobos UPNFMOlancho FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lobos UPNFM signalCasa failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Olancho FC signalTrasferta unbeaten in 3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lobos UPNFM vinta 28%,Pareggio 26%,Olancho FC vinta 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.50 · Sopra 2.5 46% · Current selection Sotto