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HND Хондурас - Лига Насионал · Round 1 ·

Реал Еспаня vs Генесис де Комаягуа

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина62%
Равен23%
Победа за госта15%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Реал ЕспаняГенесис де Комаягуа
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
62% / 23% / 15%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Генесис де Комаягуа win (15.2%)Двоен шанс1X84.8%1.18
Над 55% · Под 45%Goals 2.5Над55%1.82
Да 53% · Не 47%И двата отбора да отбележатДа53%1.89
2.90 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.3 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapРеал Еспаня winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Реал Еспаня win62%1.611.4462.5%-0.5 pp
Равен23%4.354.0022.5%+0.5 pp
Генесис де Комаягуа win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Реал Еспаня1.94

Домакин share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 55% · Под 45%

Генесис де Комаягуа0.96

Гост share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Не 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Реал Еспаня

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Генесис де Комаягуа

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.94
Expected goals
0.96
Реал ЕспаняГенесис де Комаягуа
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Реал Еспаня signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Генесис де Комаягуа signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Реал Еспаня vs Генесис де Комаягуа FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Реал Еспаня печеливш 62%,Равен 23%,Генесис де Комаягуа печеливш 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Над 2.5 55% · Current selection Над