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HND Hondurase Liga Nacional · Round 1 ·

Real España vs Génesis de Comayagua

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit62%
Viik23%
Võõrsilvõit15%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real EspañaGénesis de Comayagua
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle55% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
62% / 23% / 15%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Génesis de Comayagua win (15.2%)Topeltvõimalus1X84.8%1.18
Üle 55% · Alla 45%Goals 2.5Üle55%1.82
Jah 53% · Ei 47%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah53%1.89
2.90 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
9.3 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapReal España winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real España win62%1.611.4462.5%-0.5 pp
Viik23%4.354.0022.5%+0.5 pp
Génesis de Comayagua win15%6.676.0015%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real España1.94

Kodu share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 55% · Alla 45%

Génesis de Comayagua0.96

Võõras share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 53% · Ei 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Real España

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Génesis de Comayagua

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalVõõras unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Võit probability excluding draw
15%
7
Points from supplied form
8
1.94
Expected goals
0.96
Real EspañaGénesis de Comayagua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real España signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Génesis de Comayagua signalVõõras unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Real España vs Génesis de Comayagua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real España võit 62%,Viik 23%,Génesis de Comayagua võit 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Üle 2.5 55% · Current selection Üle