Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 29% / 36%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Double chance1271.4%1.40
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Elgin win36%2.78
Draw29%3.45
Forfar win36%2.78
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 50%
Total expected goals2.72Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 50%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchElgin
WLLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchForfar
WLLLD
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
36%
Win probability excluding draw
36%3
Points from supplied form
41.36
Expected goals
1.36ElginForfar
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Elgin vs Forfar FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Elgin win 36%，Draw 29%，Forfar win 36%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.72 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。