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SCO Σκωτία - Λιγκ 2 · Round 1 ·

Έλγκιν vs Φόρφαρ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.72 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου48%
Ισοπαλία26%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου26%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου48% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΈλγκινΦόρφαρ
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω51% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
48% / 26% / 26%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Φόρφαρ win (25.7%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X74.3%1.35
Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%Goals 2.5Άνω51%1.96
Ναι 56% · Όχι 44%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapΦόρφαρ winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Έλγκιν win48%2.081.8348.9%-0.9 pp
Ισοπαλία26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Φόρφαρ win26%3.853.6024.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Έλγκιν1.36

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%

Φόρφαρ1.36

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 56% · Όχι 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Έλγκιν

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Φόρφαρ

2.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Πόντοι13

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
26%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.36
Expected goals
1.36
ΈλγκινΦόρφαρ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Έλγκιν signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Φόρφαρ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Έλγκιν vs Φόρφαρ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Έλγκιν νίκη 48%,Ισοπαλία 26%,Φόρφαρ νίκη 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Άνω 2.5 51% · Current selection Άνω