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SCO Escocia - League Two · Round 1 ·

Elgin vs Forfar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.72 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local36%
Empate29%
Victoria visitante36%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local36% selection probability
Projected score1–1ElginForfar
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de51% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
36% / 29% / 36%Resultado del partidoVictoria local36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Doble Oportunidad1271.4%1.40
Más de 51% · Menos de 49%Goals 2.5Más de51%1.96
Sí 56% · No 44%Ambos equipos marcan56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Elgin win36%2.78
Empate29%3.45
Forfar win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elgin1.36

Local share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 51% · Menos de 49%

Forfar1.36

Visitante share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Elgin

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Forfar

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganado probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.36
Expected goals
1.36
ElginForfar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elgin signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Forfar signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Elgin vs Forfar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elgin ganada 36%,Empate 29%,Forfar ganada 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Más de 2.5 51% · Current selection Más de