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SCO Skottland - League Two · Round 1 ·

Elgin vs Forfar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.72 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger36%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger36%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger36% selection probability
Projected score1–1ElginForfar
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över51% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
36% / 29% / 36%MatchresultatHemmaseger36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Dubbelchans1271.4%1.40
Över 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Över51%1.96
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Elgin win36%2.78
Oavgjort29%3.45
Forfar win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elgin1.36

Hemma share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 51% · Under 49%

Forfar1.36

Borta share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Elgin

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Forfar

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
36%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.36
Expected goals
1.36
ElginForfar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elgin signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Forfar signalHemma failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Elgin vs Forfar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elgin vunnen 36%,Oavgjort 29%,Forfar vunnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Över 2.5 51% · Current selection Över