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SCO スコットランド リーグ2 · Round 1 ·

エルギン vs フォーファー・アスレティック

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.72 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利36%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利36%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利36% selection probability
Projected score1–1エルギンフォーファー・アスレティック
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー51% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
36% / 29% / 36%試合結果ホーム勝利36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)ダブルチャンス1271.4%1.40
オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%Goals 2.5オーバー51%1.96
はい 56% · いいえ 44%両チーム得点はい56%1.79
2.72 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
エルギン win36%2.78
引き分け29%3.45
フォーファー・アスレティック win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

エルギン1.36

ホーム share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 51% · アンダー 49%

フォーファー・アスレティック1.36

アウェイ share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 56% · いいえ 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

エルギン

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

フォーファー・アスレティック

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
勝ち probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.36
Expected goals
1.36
エルギンフォーファー・アスレティック
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01エルギン signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02フォーファー・アスレティック signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

エルギン vs フォーファー・アスレティック FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

エルギン 勝ち 36%,引き分け 29%,フォーファー・アスレティック 勝ち 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · オーバー 2.5 51% · Current selection オーバー