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SCO Шотландия - 2-я лига · Round 1 ·

Элгин vs Форфар

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.72 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев36%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей36%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев36% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЭлгинФорфар
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
36% / 29% / 36%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.6%)Двойной шанс1271.4%1.40
Больше 51% · Меньше 49%Goals 2.5Больше51%1.96
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
2.72 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Элгин win36%2.78
Ничья29%3.45
Форфар win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Элгин1.36

Хозяева share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 51% · Меньше 49%

Форфар1.36

Гости share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Элгин

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Форфар

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
36%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.36
Expected goals
1.36
ЭлгинФорфар
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Элгин signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Форфар signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Элгин vs Форфар FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Элгин выигрыш 36%,Ничья 29%,Форфар выигрыш 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · ТБ 2.5 51% · Current selection Больше