Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
67% / 20% / 13%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro Largo - Réserves win (13.4%)Double chance1X86.6%1.15
Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%Goals 2.5Plus de60%1.67
Oui 45% · Non 55%Les deux équipes marquentNon55%1.82
3.08 total expected goalsScore exact2–1——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapPenarol - Réserves winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Penarol - Réserves win67%1.491.3666.2%+0.8 pp
Nul20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Cerro Largo - Réserves win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 77.6%
Total expected goals3.08Ouverture
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%
Extérieur share of expected goals 22.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 45% · Non 55%Match profileOuverture
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchPenarol - Réserves
WDLDW
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchCerro Largo - Réserves
LLLLL
Joués5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0
SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
67%
Gagné probability excluding draw
13%8
Points from supplied form
02.39
Expected goals
0.69Penarol - RéservesCerro Largo - Réserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Penarol - Réserves vs Cerro Largo - Réserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penarol - Réserves victoire 67%，Nul 20%，Cerro Largo - Réserves victoire 13%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.08 · Plus de 2.5 60% · Current selection Plus de。