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URY Uruguaj - Liga rezervných tímov · Zápas ·

Penarol rezervný tím vs Cerro Largo rezervný tim

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich67%
Remíza20%
Výhra hostí13%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich67% selection probability
Projected score2–1Penarol rezervný tímCerro Largo rezervný tim
Expected goals3.08Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac60% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
67% / 20% / 13%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro Largo rezervný tim win (13.4%)Dvojitá šanca1X86.6%1.15
Viac 60% · Menej 40%Goals 2.5Viac60%1.67
Áno 45% · Nie 55%Oba tímy skórujúNie55%1.82
3.08 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.1 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapPenarol rezervný tím winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Penarol rezervný tím win67%1.491.3666.2%+0.8 pp
Remíza20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Cerro Largo rezervný tim win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Penarol rezervný tím2.39

Domáci share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals3.08Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 60% · Menej 40%

Cerro Largo rezervný tim0.69

Hostia share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 45% · Nie 55%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Penarol rezervný tím

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo rezervný tim

0.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Body0

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Výhra probability excluding draw
13%
8
Points from supplied form
0
2.39
Expected goals
0.69
Penarol rezervný tímCerro Largo rezervný tim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Penarol rezervný tím signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Largo rezervný tim signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Penarol rezervný tím vs Cerro Largo rezervný tim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Penarol rezervný tím výhra 67%,Remíza 20%,Cerro Largo rezervný tim výhra 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Viac 2.5 60% · Current selection Viac