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URY Uruguay - tartalék liga · Mérkőzés ·

Penarol - tartalék vs Cerro Largo - tartalék

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem62%
Döntetlen21%
Vendég győzelem17%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem62% selection probability
Projected score2–1Penarol - tartalékCerro Largo - tartalék
Expected goals3.08Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett60% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
62% / 21% / 17%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro Largo - tartalék win (17.2%)Dupla esély1X82.8%1.21
Felett 60% · Alatt 40%Goals 2.5Felett60%1.67
Igen 45% · Nem 55%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem55%1.82
3.08 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
9.1 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapPenarol - tartalék winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Penarol - tartalék win62%1.611.5060.7%+1.3 pp
Döntetlen21%4.764.3321%0.0 pp
Cerro Largo - tartalék win17%5.885.0018.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Penarol - tartalék2.39

Hazai share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals3.08Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 60% · Alatt 40%

Cerro Largo - tartalék0.69

Vendég share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 45% · Nem 55%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Penarol - tartalék

1.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontok8

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo - tartalék

0.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Pontok0

SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Nyert probability excluding draw
17%
8
Points from supplied form
0
2.39
Expected goals
0.69
Penarol - tartalékCerro Largo - tartalék
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Penarol - tartalék signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Largo - tartalék signalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Penarol - tartalék vs Cerro Largo - tartalék FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Penarol - tartalék nyer 62%,Döntetlen 21%,Cerro Largo - tartalék nyer 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · 2.5 felett 60% · Current selection Felett