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URY Uruguay - Liga de Rezerve · Meci ·

Penarol - Rezerve vs Cerro Largo - Rezerve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde67%
Egal20%
Victorie oaspeți13%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde67% selection probability
Projected score2–1Penarol - RezerveCerro Largo - Rezerve
Expected goals3.08Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste60% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
67% / 20% / 13%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro Largo - Rezerve win (13.4%)Șansă dublă1X86.6%1.15
Peste 60% · Sub 40%Goals 2.5Peste60%1.67
Da 45% · Nu 55%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu55%1.82
3.08 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapPenarol - Rezerve winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Penarol - Rezerve win67%1.491.3666.2%+0.8 pp
Egal20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Cerro Largo - Rezerve win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Penarol - Rezerve2.39

Gazde share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals3.08Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 60% · Sub 40%

Cerro Largo - Rezerve0.69

Oaspeți share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 45% · Nu 55%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Penarol - Rezerve

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo - Rezerve

0.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Puncte0

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Câștig probability excluding draw
13%
8
Points from supplied form
0
2.39
Expected goals
0.69
Penarol - RezerveCerro Largo - Rezerve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Penarol - Rezerve signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Largo - Rezerve signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Penarol - Rezerve vs Cerro Largo - Rezerve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Penarol - Rezerve câștig 67%,Egal 20%,Cerro Largo - Rezerve câștig 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Peste 2.5 60% · Current selection Peste