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URY Uruguay - Liga de Rezerve · Meci ·

Juventud De Las Piedras - Rezerve vs Defensor Sporting - Rezerve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde37%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți37%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventud De Las Piedras - RezerveDefensor Sporting - Rezerve
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub53% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
37% / 26% / 37%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Șansă dublă1274%1.35
Peste 47% · Sub 53%Goals 2.5Sub53%1.89
Da 51% · Nu 49%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51%1.96
2.55 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapJuventud De Las Piedras - Rezerve winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juventud De Las Piedras - Rezerve win37%2.702.4037.8%-0.8 pp
Egal26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Defensor Sporting - Rezerve win37%2.702.5036.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventud De Las Piedras - Rezerve1.05

Gazde share of expected goals 41.2%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 47% · Sub 53%

Defensor Sporting - Rezerve1.50

Oaspeți share of expected goals 58.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 51% · Nu 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Juventud De Las Piedras - Rezerve

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Defensor Sporting - Rezerve

2.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puncte13

SignalGazde unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Câștig probability excluding draw
37%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.05
Expected goals
1.50
Juventud De Las Piedras - RezerveDefensor Sporting - Rezerve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventud De Las Piedras - Rezerve signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensor Sporting - Rezerve signalGazde unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Juventud De Las Piedras - Rezerve vs Defensor Sporting - Rezerve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventud De Las Piedras - Rezerve câștig 37%,Egal 26%,Defensor Sporting - Rezerve câștig 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Peste 2.5 47% · Current selection Sub