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URY Uruguay - Ligue réserve · Match ·

Juventud De Las Piedras - Réserves vs Defensor Sporting - Réserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile37%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventud De Las Piedras - RéservesDefensor Sporting - Réserves
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
37% / 26% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35
Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%Goals 2.5Moins de53%1.89
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.55 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapJuventud De Las Piedras - Réserves winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juventud De Las Piedras - Réserves win37%2.702.4037.8%-0.8 pp
Nul26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Defensor Sporting - Réserves win37%2.702.5036.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventud De Las Piedras - Réserves1.05

Domicile share of expected goals 41.2%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%

Defensor Sporting - Réserves1.50

Extérieur share of expected goals 58.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Juventud De Las Piedras - Réserves

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Defensor Sporting - Réserves

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.05
Expected goals
1.50
Juventud De Las Piedras - RéservesDefensor Sporting - Réserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventud De Las Piedras - Réserves signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensor Sporting - Réserves signalDomicile unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Juventud De Las Piedras - Réserves vs Defensor Sporting - Réserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventud De Las Piedras - Réserves victoire 37%,Nul 26%,Defensor Sporting - Réserves victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Plus de 2.5 47% · Current selection Moins de