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URY Uruguay - Ligue réserve · Match ·

Club Nacional de Football - Réserves vs Montevideo Wanderers - Réserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.57 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile42%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur30%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Club Nacional de Football - RéservesMontevideo Wanderers - Réserves
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 28% / 30%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Double chance1272.1%1.39
Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%Goals 2.5Moins de53%1.89
Oui 49% · Non 51%Les deux équipes marquentNon51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapClub Nacional de Football - Réserves winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Nacional de Football - Réserves win42%2.382.2041.5%+0.5 pp
Nul28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
Montevideo Wanderers - Réserves win30%3.333.0030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Nacional de Football - Réserves1.63

Domicile share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%

Montevideo Wanderers - Réserves0.94

Extérieur share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 49% · Non 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Club Nacional de Football - Réserves

2.60pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Montevideo Wanderers - Réserves

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
0.94
Club Nacional de Football - RéservesMontevideo Wanderers - Réserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Nacional de Football - Réserves signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montevideo Wanderers - Réserves signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Club Nacional de Football - Réserves vs Montevideo Wanderers - Réserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Nacional de Football - Réserves victoire 42%,Nul 28%,Montevideo Wanderers - Réserves victoire 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Plus de 2.5 47% · Current selection Moins de