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URY Uruguay Reserve League · Kamp ·

Nacional De Football reserver vs Montevideo Wanderers reserver

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.57 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier42%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier30%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nacional De Football reserverMontevideo Wanderers reserver
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
42% / 28% / 30%KampresultatHjemmeseier42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Dobbel sjanse1272.1%1.39
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 49% · Nei 51%Begge lag scorerNei51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapNacional De Football reserver winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional De Football reserver win42%2.382.2041.5%+0.5 pp
Uavgjort28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
Montevideo Wanderers reserver win30%3.333.0030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional De Football reserver1.63

Hjemme share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Montevideo Wanderers reserver0.94

Borte share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nei 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Nacional De Football reserver

2.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poeng13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Montevideo Wanderers reserver

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
0.94
Nacional De Football reserverMontevideo Wanderers reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional De Football reserver signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montevideo Wanderers reserver signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Nacional De Football reserver vs Montevideo Wanderers reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional De Football reserver vunnet 42%,Uavgjort 28%,Montevideo Wanderers reserver vunnet 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under