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URY Uruguay Reserve League · Maç ·

Nacional De Football Reserves vs Montevideo Wanderers Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.57 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır42%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır30%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nacional De Football ReservesMontevideo Wanderers Reserves
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt53% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
42% / 28% / 30%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Çifte Şans1272.1%1.39
Üst 47% · Alt 53%Goals 2.5Alt53%1.89
Evet 49% · Hayır 51%Karşılıklı gol varHayır51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.3 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapNacional De Football Reserves winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional De Football Reserves win42%2.382.2041.5%+0.5 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
Montevideo Wanderers Reserves win30%3.333.0030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional De Football Reserves1.63

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 47% · Alt 53%

Montevideo Wanderers Reserves0.94

Deplasman share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 49% · Hayır 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Nacional De Football Reserves

2.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puan13

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Montevideo Wanderers Reserves

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
0.94
Nacional De Football ReservesMontevideo Wanderers Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional De Football Reserves signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montevideo Wanderers Reserves signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Nacional De Football Reserves vs Montevideo Wanderers Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional De Football Reserves kazanç 42%,Beraberlik 28%,Montevideo Wanderers Reserves kazanç 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · 2.5 Üst 47% · Current selection Alt