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URY Uruguay - Liga B · Partido ·

Club Nacional de Football - B vs Montevideo Wanderers - B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.57 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local42%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante30%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Club Nacional de Football - BMontevideo Wanderers - B
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de53% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
42% / 28% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Doble Oportunidad1272.1%1.39
Más de 47% · Menos de 53%Goals 2.5Menos de53%1.89
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapClub Nacional de Football - B winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Nacional de Football - B win42%2.382.2041.5%+0.5 pp
Empate28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
Montevideo Wanderers - B win30%3.333.0030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Nacional de Football - B1.63

Local share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 47% · Menos de 53%

Montevideo Wanderers - B0.94

Visitante share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Club Nacional de Football - B

2.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puntos13

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Montevideo Wanderers - B

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
0.94
Club Nacional de Football - BMontevideo Wanderers - B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Nacional de Football - B signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montevideo Wanderers - B signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Club Nacional de Football - B vs Montevideo Wanderers - B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Nacional de Football - B ganada 42%,Empate 28%,Montevideo Wanderers - B ganada 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Más de 2.5 47% · Current selection Menos de