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URY Uruguay - Liga rezerwowa · Mecz ·

Nacional De Football - Rezerwa vs Montevideo Wanderers - Rezerwa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.57 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy42%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości30%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nacional De Football - RezerwaMontevideo Wanderers - Rezerwa
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej53% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
42% / 28% / 30%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Podwójna szansa1272.1%1.39
Powyżej 47% · Poniżej 53%Goals 2.5Poniżej53%1.89
Tak 49% · Nie 51%Obie drużyny strzeląNie51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapNacional De Football - Rezerwa winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional De Football - Rezerwa win42%2.382.2041.5%+0.5 pp
Remis28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
Montevideo Wanderers - Rezerwa win30%3.333.0030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional De Football - Rezerwa1.63

Gospodarze share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 47% · Poniżej 53%

Montevideo Wanderers - Rezerwa0.94

Goście share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 49% · Nie 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Nacional De Football - Rezerwa

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Montevideo Wanderers - Rezerwa

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
0.94
Nacional De Football - RezerwaMontevideo Wanderers - Rezerwa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional De Football - Rezerwa signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montevideo Wanderers - Rezerwa signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Nacional De Football - Rezerwa vs Montevideo Wanderers - Rezerwa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional De Football - Rezerwa wygrana 42%,Remis 28%,Montevideo Wanderers - Rezerwa wygrana 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Powyżej 2.5 47% · Current selection Poniżej