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URY Uruguay - Liga rezerwowa · Mecz ·

Club Atletico Progreso - Rezerwa vs Montevideo City Torque - Rezerwa

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.79 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy25%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości46%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Atletico Progreso - RezerwaMontevideo City Torque - Rezerwa
Expected goals1.79Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej73% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
25% / 29% / 46%Wynik meczuWygrana gości46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Atletico Progreso - Rezerwa win (25%)Podwójna szansaX275%1.33
Powyżej 27% · Poniżej 73%Goals 2.5Poniżej73%1.37
Tak 30% · Nie 70%Obie drużyny strzeląNie70%1.43
1.79 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.1 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapClub Atletico Progreso - Rezerwa winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Atletico Progreso - Rezerwa win25%4.003.5026%-1.0 pp
Remis29%3.453.2028.5%+0.5 pp
Montevideo City Torque - Rezerwa win46%2.172.0045.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Atletico Progreso - Rezerwa0.53

Gospodarze share of expected goals 29.6%

Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 27% · Poniżej 73%

Montevideo City Torque - Rezerwa1.26

Goście share of expected goals 70.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 30% · Nie 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Club Atletico Progreso - Rezerwa

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque - Rezerwa

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
46%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.53
Expected goals
1.26
Club Atletico Progreso - RezerwaMontevideo City Torque - Rezerwa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Atletico Progreso - Rezerwa signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montevideo City Torque - Rezerwa signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Club Atletico Progreso - Rezerwa vs Montevideo City Torque - Rezerwa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Atletico Progreso - Rezerwa wygrana 25%,Remis 29%,Montevideo City Torque - Rezerwa wygrana 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.79 · Powyżej 2.5 27% · Current selection Poniżej