Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 28% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Dubbele Kans1272.1%1.39
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapNacional De Football - Reserves winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional De Football - Reserves win42%2.382.2041.5%+0.5 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
Montevideo Wanderers - Reserves win30%3.333.0030.4%-0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 63.4%
Total expected goals2.57Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%
Uit share of expected goals 36.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchNacional De Football - Reserves
WWDWW
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchMontevideo Wanderers - Reserves
DLWLW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%13
Points from supplied form
71.63
Expected goals
0.94Nacional De Football - ReservesMontevideo Wanderers - Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Nacional De Football - Reserves vs Montevideo Wanderers - Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Nacional De Football - Reserves gewonnen 42%，Gelijkspel 28%，Montevideo Wanderers - Reserves gewonnen 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.57 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder。